compute/stats-for-sysadmins.md
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+<!-- TITLE: Stats For Sysadmins -->
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+<!-- SUBTITLE: Finger in the air shit right here -->
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+
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+### 1/n chance tried n times
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+From https://theartofmachinery.com/2020/01/27/systems_programming_probability.html
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+For n>3, there's a bit less than a 2/3 chance of at least one hit.
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+
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+### n balls in n buckets
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+From https://theartofmachinery.com/2020/01/27/systems_programming_probability.html
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+If you throw n balls into n buckets at random, a bit over a third of the buckets will be empty, a bit over a third will have one ball, and the remaining quarter or so will have multiple balls.
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+
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+### Scale up, or scale out?
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+From http://people.brunel.ac.uk/~mastjjb/jeb/or/queue.html
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+If you only care about throughput, scale up.
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+If you care about wait times, scale out.
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